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Academician Ouyang Minggao: turn 100 million EVs into grid power banks; V2G scale to hit 50 GW by 2030

Overview

Academician Ouyang Minggao has argued for treating the country’s projected 100 million electric vehicles as distributed “power banks” for the grid, estimating that vehicle-to-grid (V2G) discharge capacity could reach 50 GW by 2030. The statement crystallises a policy window in which EVs are reframed from passive loads into a flexible, dispatchable storage resource central to renewables integration.

Background & Interpretation

1. Industry Context & Policy Landscape

V2G—encompassing V2H, V2B and V2L—lets bidirectional chargers push energy from vehicle batteries back to the grid or a building. With renewable shares rising, system flexibility is scarce and valuable; aggregating millions of vehicle batteries offers gigawatt-scale, geographically distributed storage at near-zero additional hardware cost (the batteries already exist). Pilot programmes in several cities are testing time-of-use tariffs, ancillary-service participation, and virtual-power-plant aggregation that pays owners for discharged energy.

2. Core Drivers & Underlying Mechanisms

The 50 GW figure derives from simple arithmetic: 100 million EVs at an average usable capacity of roughly 50–60 kWh, if only a fraction are plugged in and dispatchable at peak, yields tens of gigawatts of aggregate power. Technically, V2G requires ISO 15118 / GB/T bidirectional signalling, smart charging management, and grid-synchronised inverters. The central trade-off is battery degradation versus revenue: controlled, shallow, infrequent discharges can be net-positive for owners once compensation exceeds wear, especially when paired with smart scheduling that charges on surplus renewables.

3. Value Chain & Competitive Impact

V2G reshapes the charging value chain toward intelligent energy-management platforms and aggregators that bundle vehicles into market-facing virtual power plants. Utilities gain deferred grid investment; automakers that embed bidirectional capability and favourable warranty terms gain a new selling point. The bottleneck is less technology than market design: electricity markets must allow small aggregators to bid into frequency and peak-shaving markets, and standards must guarantee interoperability.

Implications & Outlook

If market access and warranties align, V2G could become the largest low-cost flexibility source for the new power system. The 2030 target is plausible but contingent on tariff reform and owner incentives.

Takeaways for Industry Participants

  • Charging operators should build aggregator capabilities now to capture future VPP revenue.
  • Automakers should clarify bidirectional warranties to remove the owner adoption barrier.
  • Utilities and regulators must open ancillary markets to distributed, aggregated resources.
  • EV owners should evaluate V2G readiness when choosing chargers and tariffs.

This column compiles industry information and shares technical perspectives; it does not constitute investment advice.