Cloud-led Future · Intelligence-driven Hotline +86 21 6228 0217 中文 | EN

Top-5 listed insurers' VNB up 5% to 34% in first half

Overview

The top five listed insurers reported first-half value of new business (VNB) growth ranging from 5% to 34%, a broad-based recovery that reflects both product-mix improvement and channel discipline. The accompanying “fee-parity” reform—aligning commission and expense structures across bancassurance and agency channels and across product types—addresses long-standing distortions where high-upfront-commission savings products crowded out protection business.

Background & Interpretation

1. Regulatory & Industry Context

VNB measures the present value of expected future profits from new policies, net of required capital—a core metric for life insurers’ embedded value. After a multi-year downturn driven by the 2023 guaranteed-rate cuts, agent downsizing, and the “phantom” premium surge ahead of rate reductions, a recovery in VNB signals stabilising new-business margins. The fee-parity initiative, part of broader “fee governance” rules, caps and standardises first-year commissions and ties pay to persistency and value, not just volume.

2. Core Drivers & Underlying Mechanisms

Growth is driven by (i) a product shift toward participating and dividend products as guaranteed rates fell, improving margin and customer appeal; (ii) agency quality—fewer but more productive agents selling need-based protection and savings; and (iii) bancassurance rationalisation under fee-parity, curbing destructive price competition for bank shelf space. The mechanism: by equalising economic incentives across channels, carriers redeploy capacity to higher-VNB business. A second-order effect is healthier persistency and lower surrender, lifting the realised value of the book.

3. Market Structure & Operator Impact

Scale leaders leverage brand, agency training, and bancassurance relationships to capture share; the reform compresses the cost advantage of pure-volume players, favouring those with genuine distribution efficiency. Smaller firms must differentiate on niche products or service rather than commission bidding.

Implications & Outlook

Sustained VNB growth depends on holding the line on fee discipline and resisting a return to volume-at-any-cost. Low-rate pressure on investment returns remains the key margin risk; participating products transfer some risk to policyholders, aiding solvency.

Takeaways for Industry Participants

  • Carriers: manage VNB per unit of capital; resist margin-diluting volume.
  • Channels: train agents on value-based, need-led selling.
  • Product: balance guarantees with participating features for margin.
  • Compliance: enforce fee-parity; monitor persistency and surrender.

This column compiles industry information and shares technical perspectives; it does not constitute investment advice.